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TI News: An information service from the National Travel & Tourism Office (NTTO)

January 6, 2015

November 2014 YTD U.S. - International Air Passenger Traffic up Seven Percent

Total International Traffic up Five Percent in November
Canada up Seven Percent; Mexico Eight Percent; and Middle East up 17 Percent for the Month
China Arrivals up 26 percent in November

U.S. - International Air Traffic

International non-stop air traffic to/from the U.S.(1) totaled 180.8 million passengers through November 2014, a seven percent increase over the November 2013 year-to-date period.

U.S. citizen travel (79.7 million) was up seven percent and comprised 44 percent of all air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (101.2 million) increased by six percent with their market share at 56 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 93.6 million passengers, up four percent, with their share at 52 percent. Foreign flags carried 87.2 million passengers, up 10 percent from same period 2013.

International Passengers (mlns) % Chg y-o-y Market Share % Pt. chg.
   U.S. Citizens 79.676 7.0% 44.1% 0.2
   Non-U.S. Citizens 101.170 6.4% 55.9% -0.2
         
   U.S. Flag Carriers (3) 93.647 3.9% 51.8% -1.4
   Foreign Flag Carriers 87.199 9.9% 48.2% 1.4

The following, overseas, Canada and Mexico regions are ‘breakouts’ of international:

Overseas air traffic accounted for 134.6 million passengers, 74 percent of all international, and grew by six percent.

U.S. citizen travel (59.6 million) was up six percent comprising 44 percent of overseas air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (75.0 million) were up by six percent with their market share at 56 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 66.4 million passengers, up three percent, their share at 49 percent. Foreign flags carried 68.2 million passengers, up 10 percent from November 2013 YTD.

Overseas Regions Passengers (mlns) % Chg y-o-y Market Share % Pt. chg.
   U.S. Citizens 59.553 5.8% 44.3% 0.0
   Non-U.S. Citizens 74.998 6.2% 55.7% 0.0
         
   U.S. Flag Carriers 66.397 3.1% 49.3% -1.5
   Foreign Flag Carriers 68.154 9.7% 50.7% 1.5

Overseas regions performed as follows:

Overseas Regions Passengers (mlns) % of all
International
% Change
2014 / 2013 YTD
   Europe    53.057    29%    5.0%
   Asia    26.979    15%    5.3%
   Caribbean    19.016    10%    8.2%
   South America    13.541    7%    2.5%
   Central America    9.411    5%    10.2%
   Middle East    7.270    4%    17.0%
   Oceania    4.015    2%    1.6%
   Africa    1.261    1%    0.3%

China to U.S. 'Arrivals' (2) for November 2014:

  Non-U.S. Citizens
(Originating PRC)
U.S. Citizens
(Returning)
Total Inbound on
Non-stop Flights
Load Factor (Est.)
   Passengers 117,421 75.215 192.636 74.6%
   % Chg. Nov. YOY 25.8% -0.5% 14.0% -5.5 pct. pts

Capacity on inbound flights, up 23 percent year-over-year, exceeded passenger growth

North American markets accounted for 26 percent of U.S. international air traffic flows.

Canadian air traffic accounted for 25.2 million passengers, 14 percent of all international traffic, and increased by seven percent.

U.S. citizen travel (7.1 million) increased nine percent and comprised 28 percent of air traffic. Canadian, and other foreign national citizen air travelers transiting through Canada (18.2 million), increased by seven percent. Market share was at 72 percent.

U.S. flags carried 11.4 million passengers, up three percent from last year, with their share at 45 percent. Foreign flags carried 13.9 million passengers, up 11 percent.

Canada Region Passengers (mlns) % Chg y-o-y Market Share % Pt. chg.
   U.S. Citizens 7.050 8.7% 28.0% 0.5
   Non-U.S. Citizens 18.170 6.5% 72.0% -0.5
         
   U.S. Flag Carriers 11.370 2.9% 45.1% -1.8
   Foreign Flag Carriers 13.851 10.8% 54.9% 1.8

Mexico air traffic accounted for 21.1 million passengers, 12 percent of all international traffic, and was up 11 percent.

U.S. citizen travel (13.1 million) increased 12 percent and comprised 62 percent of air traffic. Mexicans, and other foreign national air travelers (8.0 million) transiting through Mexico, increased by nine percent, with market share 38 percent.

U.S. flags carried 15.9 million passengers, up eight percent from last year, and their share slipped to 75 percent. Foreign flags carried 5.2 million passengers, up 19 percent increasing share to 25 percent.

Mexican Region Passengers (mlns) % Chg y-o-y Market Share % Pt. chg.
   U.S. Citizens 13.072 11.7% 62.0% 0.6
   Non-U.S. Citizens 8.002 8.7% 38.0% -0.6
         
   U.S. Flag Carriers 15.880 8.0% 75.4% -1.7
   Foreign Flag Carriers 5.194 18.9% 24.6% 1.7

November 2014 Year-to-Date

Top 10 Foreign Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From U.S.):
70.8 million Passengers, 39% of Total International Air Traffic

    Passengers (mlns) % Change y-o-y
1. London Heathrow (LHR) 13.346 1.2%
2. Toronto (YYZ) 10.682 7.4%
3. Tokyo Narita (NRT) 8.673 -1.4%
4. Cancun (CUN) 6.435 14.2%
5. Frankfurt (FRT) 6.231 0.3%
6. Paris/de Gaulle (CDG) 6.135 4.0%
7. Mexico City (MEX) 5.721 8.0%
8. Incheon (ICN) 4.807 4.7%
9. Vancouver (YVR) 4.462 9.4%
10. Amsterdam (AMS) 4.352 1.9%

Top 10 U.S. Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From Foreign Airports):
126.4 million Passengers, 69% of Total Air Traffic

    Passengers (mlns) % Change y-o-y
1. New York (JFK) 26.121 7.1%
2. Miami (MIA) 18.473 1.5%
3. Los Angeles (LAX) 17.746 9.3%
4. Chicago (ORD) 11.154 8.4%
5. Newark (EWR) 11.073 3.8%
6. Atlanta (ATL) 9.983 6.9%
7. San Francisco (SFO) 9.509 6.6%
8. Houston (IAH) 9.046 10.3%
9. Washington Dulles (IAD) 6.648 4.5%
10. Dallas-Ft Worth (DFW) 6.610 8.2%

Top 10 Airlines(2) Serving U.S. International Non-Stop Markets:
105.2 million Passengers, 58% of Total Air Traffic

    Passengers (mlns) % Change y-o-y
1. United Airlines 28.040 3.2%
2. Delta Air Lines 21.263 7.1%
3. American Airlines 20.302 0.0%
4. US Airways 7.560 0.0%
5. British Airways 6.628 4.2%
6. JetBlue Airways 5.222 23.8%
7. Lufthansa 5.136 2.8%
8. Air Canada (mainline) 3.945 -28.5%
9. West Jet 3.874 9.8%
10. Air France 3.197 0.8%

Monthly % changes (Notes):
Easter/Passover was ‘later’ in 2014 (April 20) vs. 2013 (March 31).

Later this month NTTO will publish the November U.S. Citizen Outbound, all mode travel, as the aggregate Canadian and Mexican departure data is received from Stats Canada and Banco de Mexico, respectively. (U.S. Citizen outbound is a component in the estimation of U.S. travel ‘imports’.) For current 2014, October: http://travel.trade.gov/view/m-2014-O-001/index.html

A description of the “APIS” program: http://travel.trade.gov/research/programs/i92/index.html includes subscription prices for detail reports in excel and adobe.

U.S. Department of Commerce
International Trade Administration
National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO)
1401 Constitution Avenue NW, Room 10003
Washington, D.C. 20230
Phone: (202) 482-0140
Website: http://travel.trade.gov/
Email: ntto@trade.gov


(1) This reflects non-stop air-only data. A portion of the non-stop passenger traffic to i.e., Europe will not visit Europe, but will connect through one of Europe’s airline hubs (LHR, AMS, FRA, CDG, MAD, etc.) to Africa and the Middle East. Also, traffic to the Middle East will connect through the U.A.E. The adjustment to these regions, reflecting visitation (1+ nights), occurs after year-end data is compiled.

(2) Non-stop air arrivals from China (PRC). Non-U.S. citizens assumed to be mostly Chinese citizens. All inbound from China, including U.S. citizens returning, compared to available seats (DIIO/Innovata) to estimate load factor. Note: PRC travelers also connect via Asian hubs or Canada when traveling to U.S.

(3) Numbers for U.S. carriers varies from what has been reported by Airlines for America. A4A reported mainline numbers for most of their member carriers. A4A includes Canada in Domestic. The DHS-I92/APIS data includes all carriers with international service to/from the U.S. including regional carriers, both affiliated and non-affiliated, and general aviation. The I-92APIS, however is not inclusive of Pacific inter-port or other ‘beyond’ traffic.

Performance metrics reported are:

  • Total international air travel (arrivals + departures),
  • U.S. citizen and foreign citizen air travelers,
  • U.S. flag and foreign flag carriers,
  • Top U.S. and foreign airports.